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Monday, January 7, 2013

Nifty : Performance since High of 2008 (Part 3)


Over the last five years, 31 constituents of the Nifty out performed the Index.
Lupin was Super performer - look at red line - & its consistent moves .


Next is Asian Paints


Next is Sun Pharma


Next is Hero Motors


And finally Dr Reddy had given 5 STARS performance over 5 years
 



Nifty : Performance since High of 2008 (Part 2)


Post all time high in BSE Sensex & NSE Nifty in January 2008,

Neowave analyst Milind Karandikar suggested the Sensex target at around 27,000 mark”  for the Year 2008,
stock market consultant and analyst Devangshu Datta  talked of the possibility of moving till 7,000 in the longer-term of six-eight months and
Orpheus Capitals CEO Mukul Pal predicted  “After Sensex 20,000, the market expectations are for 30,000, but I don't see the Sensex extending beyond 24,000 this year “

Even others were airing similar views such as HSBC securities


All these uproar for the market in 2008 proved wrong and the NSE Nifty  corrected  by over 64% to 2252.75 as on 27/10/2008 shedding 4104 points. Subsequently, it recovered over 99% of loss to regain a  high of 6316+ , e.g., 6338.5 as on 05/11/2010.  Incidentally, after scaling 6K figure first on 11-12-2007, Nifty had a closing in 6K’s in just 66 occasions.


8-Jan-08
6282.45
6357.10
6221.60
6287.85
27-Oct-08
2583.75
2585.30
2252.75
2524.20
5-Nov-10
6321.85
6338.50
6303.10
6312.45

On the eve of 5th Anniversary of the Nifty High, I have to state that the high of 6357.1 is a dream to look forward to. Constituent scrip performed far better over the past five years, however,  anyone who had invested in ETF Nifty is a loser,  as per the attached analysis: -

Please copy & paste to your browser
https://excel.office.live.com/x/ExcelView.aspx?FBsrc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fdownload%2Ffile_preview.php%3Fid%3D131388520355863%26metadata&access_token=1835286898%3AAVKh5Swq7F1xRL1FafPGBQ9Cgu_UzV5G0DsQTcopHeqk2g&title=Nifty_Performance.xlsx


Nifty Index & some of its Constituents had under performed :




Sunday, January 6, 2013

Nifty : Performance since High of 2008


Even though the NSE Nifty is far below the historical high of 2008 (6357), there is talk of Nifty surpassing the earlier high. 

Performances of individual scrips , in the Index, were mixed as shown the followings Charts. (Source: moneycontrol)






















































I shall be reviewing the over all performance of the Index as on 08/01/2008 & its constituents over the past five years.