Nifty Index Time Frame 75 Minutes: A re-visit

Quoting from an old blog
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2014/12/nifty-index-time-frame-75-minutes.html

"  Market in India is from 9:15 AM to 15:30 hours (3:30 PM) and of 375 Minutes duration. As such, a TF of 3 minutes cover a day with 125 candles, TF of 5 minutes covers 2 days, TF of 15 minutes cover 6 days & TF of 75 minutes cover in 30 days - all with 150 candles.

Traditionally, Daily chart  of around 30 weeks is of /around 150 candles. Fractal of daily chart is taken/accepted of being hourly, However, in my opinion , the hourly chart is asymmetrical in nature ; 1st candle depicted as 9:00 is based on 3 candles of TF  15, & 7th candle depicted as 15:00 is based on 3 candles of TF  15. Balance 5 candles (10:00 to 14:00 inclusive) are based on 4 candles of TF 15.  Best option for fractal is no doubt a TF of 75 minutes".

Data from Netdania were sourced by right clicking "Chart Type" icon & selecting "Table" option ; relevant data were copy & pasted to excel sheet. Based on 15 minutes data (with 27 rows for each day) , one obtained 5 sets of OHLC 

Here is a chart for the period of 04/12/2015 to 15/01/2016 based on such derived data :

There were some missing Data from Netdania ; "

There is a vacuum in Data from NetDania on 31/12/2015 & 01/01/2016 (marked in red colours in candle - presume holiday in Nederland)" I had used instead OHLC from NSE for these two days. Macd values are not accurate accordingly, however, with passing of time their effect will be off in next 14 days fully.

Ghulam Ali Gazals

Ghulam Ali - Chupke Chupke Raat Din Aansoo Bahana Yaad Hai - | Ghazal 

LIVE https://youtu.be/MOyfaTxs6D8

Chupke Chupke Raat Din lyrics

http://www.allthelyrics.com/lyrics/ghulam_ali/chupke_chupke_raat_din-lyrics-1215685.html#ixzz3vCc5Gi3G

Chupke chupke raat din aansuu bahanaa yaad hai
Ham ko ab tak aashiqii kaa vo zamaanaa yaad hai
Tujhase milate hi vo kuch Bebaak ho jaanaa meraa
Aur teraa daaton mein vo Ungalii dabaanaa yaad hai
Chori Chori ham se tum aa kar mile the jis Jagah
Muddatein Guzarin par ab tak wo Thikaanaa yaad hai
Khench lenaa vo meraa parde kaa konaa daffaatan
Aur Dupatte se teraa vo Moonh Chhupaanaa yaad hai
Do-pahar ki dhuup mein mere bulaane ke liye
Vo teraa kothe pe nange paaoon aanaa yaad hai
Baahazaaraan iztiraab-o-sad-hazaaraan ishtiyaaq
Tujhase vo pahale pahal dil kaa lagaanaa yaad hai
Jaan kar sotaa tujhe vo qasa-e-paabosii meraa
Aur teraa Thukaraa ke sar vo muskuraanaa yaad hai
Tujh ko jab tanhaa kabhii paanaa to az_raahe-lihaaz
Hal-e-dil baatoon hii baatoon mein jataanaa yaad hai
Jab sivaa mere tumhaaraa koii diivaanaa na thaa
Sach kaho kyaa tum ko bhii vo kaarKhaanaa yaad hai
Gair kii nazaroon se bachakar sab kii marzii ke Khilaaf
Vo teraa chorii chhipe raatoon ko aanaa yaad hai
Aa gaya gar vasl kii shab bhii kahiin zikr-e-firaaq
Vo teraa ro ro ke bhi mujhko rulaanaa yaad hai
Dekhanaa mujhako jo bargashtaa to sau sau naaz se
Jab manaa lenaa to phir Khud ruuTh jaanaa yaad hai
BeruKhii ke Saath sunaanaa Dard-e-Dil kii dastaan
Aur kaliye mein tera vo kangan ghumaanaa yaad hai
Vaqt-e-RuKhsat Alvidaa kaa Lafz Kahane ke liye
Vo Tere Sukhe Laboon kaa thar-tharaanaa yaad hai
Baavajuud-e-iddaa-e-ittaqaa 'Hasrat' mujhe
Aaj tak ahad-e-havas kaa ye fasaanaa yaad hai

Submitted by Guest

http://www.allthelyrics.com/lyrics/ghulam_ali/chamakte_chaand_ko-lyrics-1215671.html#ixzz3vCcVCtj5

 

https://youtu.be/vdzcBlFYKyU

Chamakte Chaand Ko lyrics

huuun huuuum aaaa aaa-2

(chamakte chand ko
chamakte chand ko tuta hua tara bana dala X2
meri aawargi ne mujhko aawara bana dala
chamakte)-2

huuun huuuum aaaa aaa-2

bada dilkash bada rangeen hai yeh shehar kehte hain X2
yahan par hain hazaron ghar gharon mein log rehte hain
mujhe is shehar ne galiyon ka banjara bana dala
chamakte chand...

main is duniya ko aksar dekh kar hairaan hota hun X2
na mujhse ban saka chhota saghar,din raat rota hun
khudaya tune kaise ye jahan sara bana dala
chamakte chand...

mere malik, mera dil kyun tadapta hai, sulagta hai X2
teri marzi , teri marzi pe kiska zor chalta hai
kisi ko gul, kisi ko tune angara bana dala
chamakte chand...

yehi aagaz tha mera, yehi anjam hona tha X2
mujhe barbaad hona tha, mujhe nakaam hona tha
mujhe taqdeer ne taqdeer ka mara bana dala
chamakte chand...

http://www.allthelyrics.com/lyrics/ghulam_ali/jabse_tune_mujhe_deewana_bana_rakha_hai-lyrics-1215689.html#ixzz3vCdO7r7F 

https://youtu.be/CjA0k6dNnZ4

Jabse Tune Mujhe Deewana Bana Rakha Hai lyrics

      

jabase tune mujhe deewaana bana rakha hai
sang har shaks ne haathon mein utha rakha hai

usake dil par bhi kadi ishq me guzari hogi
naam jisane bhi muhabbat ka sazaa rakha hai

pattharon aaj mere sar pe barasate kyon ho
mainne tujhako bhi kabhi apana khuda rakha hai

ab mere deed ki duniya bhi tamaashaai hai
toone kya mujhako mohabbat mein bana rakha hai
nannanana jab se tune haan jab se tune

http://www.allthelyrics.com/lyrics/ghulam_ali-hum_ko_kis_ke_ghum_ne_mara_ye_kahani_fir_sahi_0#ixzz3vCdn6wPf

https://youtu.be/vpHpiiPmdRI

 

hum ko kis ke ghum ne mara ye kahani fir sahi lyrics

DIL KI CHOTON NE KABHI CHAIN SE RAHNE NA DIYA
JAB Chali SARD HAWA MAIN NE TUJHE YAAD KIYA
IS KA RONA Nahi KYON TUM NE KIYA DIL BARBAAD
IS KA GHAM HAI KE BAHUT DAIR MEIN BARBAAD KIYA

HUM KO KIS KE GHUM NE MARA YE KAHANI PHIR SAHI
KIS NE TODA DIL HAMARA YE KAHANI PHIR SAHI

DIL KE LUTNAY KA SABAB POOCHHO NA SABKE SAAMNE
NAAM AAYEGA TUMHARA YE KAHANI PHIR SAHI

NAFRATON KE TEER KHAKAR DOSTON KE SHEHAR MAIN
HUM NE KIS KIS KO PUKAARA YE KAHANAI PHIR SAHI

KYA BATAAYEN PYAAR KI BAAZI WAFA KI RAAH MEIN
KAUN JEETA KAUN HAARA YE KAHANI PHIR SAHI

http://www.allthelyrics.com/lyrics/ghulam_ali/itni_muddat_baad_mile_ho-lyrics-1215674.html#ixzz3vCdz0dZ0

https://youtu.be/qzSuC3UrWlE

Itni Muddat Baad Mile Ho lyrics

Itni muddat baad mile ho
Kin sochon mein goom rahte ho

Tej hawaa ne mujhase pucha
Ret pe kya likhte rahte ho

Kaunsi baat hai tumme aaise
Itne achche kyun lagte ho

Hamse na pucho hizr ke kisse
Apni kaho, ab tum kaise ho.

Nifty (1995-2015) : Step Sum Analysis

Step Sum is in the form of a new technical tool to evaluate the psychology of the market. It has been developed by Mark Lundeen and it offers a unique insight into the psychology of the market. The step sum is simply a running total of up vs. down  days and it reflects trader psychology.

The step sum is a single item Advance – Decline Line. In other words; if Nifty is down from the previous day’s close, we give it a value of (-1), if they end the day up from the previous day’s close, we give it a value of (+1). So a step sum plot is merely the net sum of up and down market days over time.  

I had ,in addition , observed continuous up or down as if a single up or down. It is the amazing thing about the daily ups and downs of the market is that over time 242 months , through bull markets and bear, Nifty index in the markets, see about as many up days as down. Most outstanding observation is that the sum of Step_Up over this long period is identical with that of Step_Down over the same period, , monthly positions are tabulated :  Number of months (With 0) : 117, balance arising out of Number of months (With 1) : 63, Number of months (With -1) : 61 and Number of months (With -2) : 1 is Zero only.

A Chart of  Step_Up or Step_Down , in the range of 2 to 8 monthly ,is shared here :

I had applied this basic concept to Nifty Data from 3rd November 1995 (for which OHLC) available from NSE site. I have used basic as per details in attached screen-shot of the excel.

Based on Data till end of 2015, first full Step Sum NIFTY chart is being shared                                 here in below :

Basic observations arising out of 5027 days are being shared in below :

It looks to me  the Step_Up's , with average value of 33.18541 ,  and  the Step_Down's ,                 with average value of 34.40273 are behaving as a irregular pendulum ; a graphical          representation follows : 

Silver $ Chart : Time Frame Fortnightly Update # 2

IMHO, Silver looks at the fag end of (B) with low of 13.915 on November 23, 2015 {79.25% of (A) done} & likely to get support from TL from 5.52-8.41 rising projection around 13.6  ; let us watch for termination .

Here is a closer views in a 150 candles from same Data : a wedge & triple bottom is being observed

 

In the next chart, we are viewing moves more closely in 12 hourly chart; notice wedge break down from 17.77 to 13.97 was retraced to the extent of 62.7%  at 16.356 , and subsequently made a lower low at 13.915. Let us wait price action.

Nifty Bi-Monthly Chart 1996-2015 :Update # 2

Further to my earlier post  http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.com/2015/06/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-1996-2015.html, I am sharing my observation as on 30th October 2015

 As such, using a zoomed view over last 119 candles fulfilling the minimum requirement :

I am sharing crucial Macd (5,34,5) data  for certain days ; IMHO in these higher degree Elliot Wave , Nifty had done its peak for the time being as shown by a higher Nifty with lower Macd readings.

A higher high in December 2015 with next candle with closing at/over 9801  shall result in the histogram being rendered positive. I am not expecting that high this year

CNX-Nify-index-time-frame-cycles-of-21 : Up date #2

Further to my earlier blog http://kolkatabull.blogspot.in/2015/03/cnx-nifty-index-time-frame-cycles-of-21.html , I had up dated my excel sheet & revised the Data thoroughly. Here is a chart covering the full of NSE Data ; initial closing basis data over 21 days were used to create OHLC data & subsequently data were suitablelally modified to incorporate OHLC data available with 
3rd November 1995 , resulting in a chart with 291 candles (last one in progress till 02/11/2015) :-

  

Here are zoomed view of 150 candle with Macd (5,34,5) of the Index initial stage :

Next, I had filtered out the initial candles for which Macd are not available due to default requirements ; divergence in price action with Macd leads to crossing of the zero line :-

Next I am sharing subsequent data with an up swing :

And finally , in my HO Nifty looks topped out for the time being : -

 

Silver $ Chart : Time Frame Fortnightly Update # 1

IMHO, Silver looks at the fag end of (B) with low of 13.97 in August 2015 {79.1% of (A) done} & likely to get support from TL from 5.52-8.41 rising projection around 12.8  ; let us watch for termination .

Here is a closer views in a 150 candles from same Data : a wedge & triple bottom is being observed

In the next chart, we are viewing moves more closely in 12 hourly chart; notice fall from 17.77 to 14.38 was retraced to the extent of 38.2% , and a divergence between chart & Macd , & duely falling with crossing of the zero line. Let us wait price action.

(C) wave is estimated to give a minimum of  61.8% of (A) { 27.97 } to a very higher value in the next up move.