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Thursday, May 26, 2016
Monday, May 23, 2016
Nifty-bi-monthly-chart : An intermediate report for PE June 2016
Further to my earlier blog
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-review-of-elliot.html
an interim report, chart as on 23/05/2016 is depicted :
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-review-of-elliot.html
an interim report, chart as on 23/05/2016 is depicted :
With reference to my impression of top being made at 9119, please refer to :
it looks corrective A at 6825.8 had retraced #1 49.9% of up move from 4531 ; next fibonacci level to be watched is 6285 (may be eventual C) ; and #2 33.4% of up move from 2252.75 leaving next fibonacci lvl of 6497 worthy of being watched .
B-wave had recovered 74.4% of previous decline at 7992 ; 8242 may be a high that need not be ruled out.
Macd (5,34,5) in Bi-Monthly suggest a topping by its value (2166 , corresponding to 9119), been lower than that earlier (2175) . However, macd in 21 DaysCycle do not endorse that topping.
Let us watch price actions specially near the trend line marked in both log scale chart.
IMHO a dip of zero line is due heralding easiness in short-term EMA (5) over long-term EMA (34).
Monday, May 16, 2016
Nifty 8 Days Cycle : A fractal of Bi-monthly (Rejoinder 1)
Let us try to study broad views with fractals
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-8-days-cycle-fractal-of-bi-monthly.html
Rectangle marked in red is being studied with fractal of 8 DaysCycle :
Nifty BiMonthly (Last candle in progress June 2016)
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-8-days-cycle-fractal-of-bi-monthly.html
Rectangle marked in red is being studied with fractal of 8 DaysCycle :
To my novice eyes, it is more of a,b moves rather than conventional Elliot waves . More observations in chart.
Thursday, May 5, 2016
Nifty 8 Days Cycle : A fractal of Bi-monthly
Further to my blog :
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-its-fractal-8.html
I shall like to share some observations :
Macd-wise both Bi-Monthly & 8 Days Cycle Charts showed that Nifty may have topped out at 9119. Usual high in Macd was duly followed by cross down of the ZL, subsequent rise was with lower Macd characteristic of the 5th wave. In the Chart above tried to present views from different time frames.
Above chart, with full range of Data available & suitably re-cast, Next are zoomed views of Nifty TF 8 Days Cycle with proper Macd in four split charts with 188 candles (1st) & rest 3 with 150 candles for proper analysis.
Zoomed Views (188 Candles)
Zoomed view (2nd Part)
Zoomed view (3rd Part)
Zoomed view (Final Part)
Tuesday, May 3, 2016
Nifty-bi-monthly-chart & its Fractal 8 DaysCycle
Present is a rejoinder to my blog :
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-review-of-elliot.html
it may be said that a candle in Bi-Monthly chart covers on an average of 41 days. For ready reference, chart is reproduced :
http://lalitlk-lalit-lk.blogspot.in/2016/05/nifty-bi-monthly-chart-review-of-elliot.html
it may be said that a candle in Bi-Monthly chart covers on an average of 41 days. For ready reference, chart is reproduced :
Next is a chart of time frame of 8 DaysCycle effectively covering the Bi-Monthly chart as a fractal :
As such 5 candles in TF 8DC cover each candle in Bi-Monthly .
Elliot wave oscillator aka MACD (5,34,5) views from both sets of charts are complementary & endorse the view that 9119 is a peak.
Zoomed views of TF 8DC in 300 & 150 candles are given below :
Chart in 300 Candles
Chart in 150 Candles
Sunday, May 1, 2016
Nifty-bi-monthly-chart : A review of Elliot wave oscillator aka Macd
Nifty Index is being compiled since 02/07/1990 ; as such, a Time Frame of Bi-Monthly (Open, High, Low & Close over a period of two months for the Index) cover the full range of the Index since inception.
Basic data had been shared in a FaceBook group "Daily_Nifty" :
https://excel.office.live.com/x/ExcelView.aspx?FBsrc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fattachments%2Ffile_preview.php%3Fid%3D1131478423571184%26time%3D1462100798%26metadata&access_token=1835286898%3AAVIHzGtAdv1r57l1XTyf0nrYxxxxf5TN3IKTvrYF4ca8qw&title=DN_Nifty-Bi-Monthly2016.xlsx
Chart based on this data with MACD (5,34,5) aka Elliot wave oscillator for period from 01/09/1996 to 29/04/2016 is here in below :
Basic data had been shared in a FaceBook group "Daily_Nifty" :
https://excel.office.live.com/x/ExcelView.aspx?FBsrc=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fattachments%2Ffile_preview.php%3Fid%3D1131478423571184%26time%3D1462100798%26metadata&access_token=1835286898%3AAVIHzGtAdv1r57l1XTyf0nrYxxxxf5TN3IKTvrYF4ca8qw&title=DN_Nifty-Bi-Monthly2016.xlsx
Chart based on this data with MACD (5,34,5) aka Elliot wave oscillator for period from 01/09/1996 to 29/04/2016 is here in below :
http://www.tradingfives.com/articles/elliott_oscillator.htm have covered the concept amply ; point to be noted is 5th wave, in a extreme degree over 19 years, had been made.
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